2026 season
Playoff odds
10,000 simulations of the 14 remaining regular-season weeks, using the real published schedule and each team's own scoring distribution (shrunk toward the league average early in the season, when there's little signal yet).
Make-playoffs % over time
Only one week of snapshots so far. This fills in as the ingest script runs across the season.
| # | Manager | Playoffs | Seed 1 | Seed 2 | Seed 3 | Seed 4 | Seed 5 | Seed 6 | Title | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | |
| 2 | 50.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | |
| 3 | 50.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | |
| 4 | 50.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | |
| 5 | 50.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | |
| 6 | 50.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | |
| 7 | 50.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | |
| 8 | 50.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | |
| 9 | 49.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | |
| 10 | 49.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | |
| 11 | 49.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | |
| 12 | 49.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% |